2026 U.S. Midterm Election Forecast

Updated on October 16, 2026

Senate Election Forecast

Current Seat Count:

Republicans – 53
Democrats – 47 (includes 2 independents who caucus with them)

Seat Forecast:

Democrats – 52 (includes 2 independents who caucus with them)
Republicans – 48
51 seats needed to win control (50 with the Vice President’s tie-breaking vote)

House of Representatives Election Forecast

Current Seat Count:

Republicans – 218
Democrats – 214
Independents – 1
Vacant – 2

Seat Forecast:

Democrats – 233
Republicans – 202
218 needed to win control

Gubernatorial Election Forecast

Current Governors:

Republicans – 27
Democrats – 23

Seat Forecast:

Democrats – 27
Republicans – 24

Note: Maps were made with yapms.com